NEC Nijmegen
D
Kickoff
17:30
Olympiakos PiraeusD
Provisional selection · Filed 05:46 UTC · confirmed with the lineups 45 minutes before kickoff
Olympiakos PiraeusProvisional selection · Filed 05:46 UTC · confirmed with the lineups 45 minutes before kickoff
NEC Nijmegen projects 1.58 expected goals while Olympiakos Piraeus is expected to create 0.98, suggesting both sides will likely find the net; the model rates both teams to score at 52 percent.
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Tap any market for the model's reasoning, the numbers behind it and to track the pick. Fair price is the de overrounded model probability expressed as decimal odds, not a bookmaker quote.
The SharpCast Builder is a same-game multi built only from this fixture's own picks. Because the legs come from one match they are correlated, and the combined chance is priced over the projected scorelines rather than multiplied as if independent. The price shown is the model's fair price for that chance.
The same-game multi for this fixture, built from its own picks and priced for correlation, is a Pro feature.
The higher-odds build for this fixture, reaching for 20/1 or more from supported legs, is a Pro feature.
2.6 expected goals · most likely total 2 · a balanced game
model probability · fair price
Each side's goals per game over recent matches (the bar) against the expected goals their chances were worth (the tick). Scoring past the tick means finishing well; conceding inside the tick means defending well.
Running on the league baseline, no team cards history yet. Treat as a guide, not a team specific read.
This call rests on Dixon Coles strength, time decayed form, expected goals and the de overrounded market consensus, across 10,000 simulated matches.